Betting on favorites.
Most newcomers bookmakers begin their journey with bets on the favorites. They seek out real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern, Novak Djokovic, Vitali Klitschko and, of course, the canadian national hockey team. Over time, players begin to realize that blind bets on favorites do not bring the expected results, but the reason for their failures is not so much in the coefficients as in the approach to betting.
It should be understood that the favorites are completely different. Real Madrid will be the favorite in the match against Las Palmas and the favorite in the match against Atletico Madrid, but if in the first case it will be the absolute favorite with a win ratio of 1.1, then in the match with Atletico the coefficient will be in the region of 1.80-2.30.
Advantages of betting on favorites Pin-Up
1. Frequent victories
Selection of betting odds
Even if in General you will be in the red, for sure the number of winning bets will exceed the number of defeats. In psychological terms, it is much better to see such statistics rates than winning with a coefficient of 9.00 and then 9 consecutive defeats.
2. Less validol matches
In a separate match and Las Palmas can beat real Madrid, but just think how many times you have to grab the heart when attacking Madrid? It's another thing to root for a game for a team that has a lot of chances to win.
3. Lots of information about the team
In the Champions League often meet couples like Bayern Munich-Dinamo Zagreb. News about Bayern so much that if you want you can find out even what the players ate for Breakfast, but to find information about Dynamo, you will need to dig well in the Croatian Internet.
4. Low bookmaker margin
We all know that bookmakers earn only because of the fact that they put a margin in the coefficients. For example, if the real odds for the event look like this 1.25/5.00, then in the line of the office they will already have about this kind of 1.23/4.2. As you can see, the margin on the favorite was only a few points, but in the market for the victory of the outsider, the bookmaker was very reinsured, putting a much smaller coefficient.
5. Large betting limits
To avoid a sharp skew of the line, bookmakers limit bets. If the favorite limit will be around 10 thousand dollars, then the outsider it can be only $ 1000. A large limit for bets is a huge plus for professional cappers who play for very large amounts.
In some cases, it is not necessary to bet on the favorites?
1. Ratio below 1.25
The big mistake of beginners is that they often bet on quotes 1.10-1.25 and even 1.01-1.10. Think about it, to be in the black betting odds of 1.10, you need to favorite won 11 victories in 12 games. Favorites lose more often than you might think.
2. Minor match
German Bayern will be the favorite in a friendly match with French Marseille, but the game it can release and duplicate the composition. Even in some official tournaments, the favorites are not set up properly. Super Cup matches, Cup matches such as Europa League matches involving English or German clubs are not recommended for betting on favorites. Also, do not bet in the last rounds of the national Championships, when the favorites have already completed the task for the season. If the motivation of the players is not at the limit, it is better to give up betting on favorites.
3. High probability of contractual play
The Championships of Romania, Albania, Serbia and the lower Championships of other countries also have their favorites, but often there are match-fixing. Therefore, it is better to bet on the favorites in more popular tournaments.
4. Underestimating the opponent
Betting quotes do not always correctly reflect the chances of rivals. This may be due to the bookmakers ' error in calculating the probabilities or because the players bent the line so much that there was a castling of the outsider and the favorite. In other cases, large amounts of betting players can simply understate the coefficient on the favorite, which also makes a bet on it unprofitable.
5. Overload calendar
A large number of games in a short time is always bad for teams. If the favorite is forced to break on several fronts, the probability of failure matches.
6. If you don't have a strategy
You can't win at bookmakers just by betting on favourites. To do this, you need to adhere to any strategy.
Players have created a lot of betting strategies. If you like any of them, it is better to test it first on virtual money, the benefit is now many bookmakers provide this opportunity. And best of all, if you create your system of betting on favorites or improve your existing strategy.